Line of Evidence
We don't take sides. We test narratives against the data.
We take what people say about the markets, starting with NFL and college football, and check it against public data. Every claim gets a verdict. Every verdict cites its sources.
Newsletter
Narratives in. Evidence out.
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How it works
Collect
We gather widely shared, testable claims from X posts and mainstream coverage. Claims, not people.
Test
We check each claim against primary public data: results, published lines, injury reports and official stats.
Publish
We publish a verdict with a confidence level, the evidence, every source and the time the data was pulled.
The four verdicts
The best available public data is consistent with the claim as stated.
The best available public data shows the claim, as stated, is false.
Part of the claim holds and part doesn't, or it holds only under one reasonable definition or data source.
Public data can't settle the claim either way, or the claim isn't testable as stated.
Latest claim checks
We're posting claim checks on X at @LineOfEvidence_. The latest, posted Oct 16, 2026:
Full sourced write-ups, with every source and the time each dataset was pulled, are coming to this site and will be listed under Checks as they're published.